Why betting odds suggest regression for Broncos | 2026 Broncos Preview
The sports gambling world doesn’t see the Broncos making a run back to the AFC Championship Game.
Markets see the Broncos as taking a step back after a 14-3 season in which they trailed in 15 games and had an outstanding record in one-score games.
Here’s a look at the team’s odds heading into the 2026 season.
Wins: 9.5
After winning 14 games and advancing to the AFC Championship Game, the Broncos’ win total is 9.5 going into the season. Coach Sean Payton has led the Broncos to over their predicted win total the last two seasons.
What they’re saying: “The schedule is particularly brutal early, so it may be smarter to wait and bet the over during the season, potentially after the Broncos play the Seahawks in Week 6.” — CBS Sports
To win Super Bowl: +2000
Another number that suggests there is not a lot of belief in the Broncos. These are the seventh-shortest odds in the AFC with both the Chargers and Chiefs having better odds than Denver.
There could be some good value in putting down that Super Bowl bet now.
What they’re saying: “Give me Denver at 20-to-1. The Broncos are somehow underrated. I am not the biggest Bo Nix truther in the world, but he has certainly developed and he has an amazing supporting cast.” — Justin Carlucci, Fantasy Life
To win AFC West: +210
The defending division champs are getting no love here. Denver is behind Los Angeles and Kansas City in the odds to win the very competitive AFC West.
What they’re saying: “I didn’t expect to have this take coming into the season, but I’m kind of leaning on the Broncos to repeat as AFC West champions.” — Jacob Camenker, USA Today
To make playoffs: -146
To miss playoffs +124
Denver has favorable odds to make the playoffs, but there is still some worry about a very tough schedule and a drop back to average in one-score games.
What they’re saying: “Following a stellar 14-3 campaign, oddsmakers expect regression due to a brutal early season schedule.” — CBS Sports
Broncos player props
— Bo Nix to win MVP: +3000
— Jaylen Waddle to win OPOY: +8000
— Nik Bonitto to win DPOY: +1900
— Patrick Surtain to win DPOY: +5000
— Sean Payton to win COY: +8000
All odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook





